“ON Holding AG (NYSE:ONON) Retains ‘Buy’ Rating Despite Revenue Issues”

Source: Stuart Mooney

On Holding AG’s Q4 Earnings Surpass Forecasts

Swiss athletic footwear and apparel brand, On Holding AG (NYSE:ONON), has reported strong earnings for Q4, exceeding both earnings and sales forecasts. Known for its innovative running shoes, On Holding has established a strong standing in the athletic footwear and apparel industry, going toe-toe with industry titans such as Nike and Adidas.

On March 3, 2026, BTIG, a leading financial services firm, reiterated its “Buy” rating for On Holding, maintaining its status as a large-cap top pick, with the stock priced at $43.87. Despite this endorsement, the company’s stock experienced a decline following its fourth-quarter earnings report, indicating investor concern over lower-than-expected revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026.

Record Fourth-Quarter Gross Profit Margin

In the face of these concerns, On Holding reported a record fourth-quarter gross profit margin of 63.9%, a noteworthy increase of 180 basis points from the previous year. This impressive figure is emblematic of the company’s strong operational performance and underlines its capacity to generate significant revenue despite market challenges.

Moreover, the company expects to sustain this level of profitability, projecting a gross profit margin of at least 63% for 2026. This constant high-profit margin serves as a testament to the company’s ability to maintain a high level of operational efficiency, even amidst fluctuating market conditions.

Adjusted Earnings Per Share Exceed Estimates

On Holding reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.31, surpassing the 18-cent estimate by a significant margin. Additionally, the company’s net sales reached a commendable $930.66 million, exceeding the $915.20 million forecast. These figures echo the company’s strong market performance, further solidifying its status as a leading player in the athletic footwear and apparel industry.

Lower-Than-Expected Revenue Guidance for 2026

Despite these impressive financial results, On Holding projected its fiscal year 2026 net sales to exceed $4.30 billion, falling short of the $4.59 billion anticipated by analysts. This discrepancy in revenue guidance led to a decrease in the stock price by 6.07%, to $43.92. The stock’s trading range for the day was between $40.10 and $44.05, reflecting investor concern over the company’s future revenue potential.

Consistent Outperformance of Consensus Revenue Estimates

Despite the recent dip in stock price, On Holding’s consistent outperformance of consensus revenue estimates over the past four quarters demonstrates its resilience in the highly competitive market. Over the past year, ONON’s stock has fluctuated between a high of $61.29 and a low of $34.38.

The company has a considerable market capitalization of approximately $14.5 billion, with a trading volume of 18.78 million shares. These figures underline the substantial market presence of On Holding, indicating its ability to sustain performance, even in challenging market conditions.

Conclusion

In summary, while On Holding’s lower-than-expected revenue guidance for 2026 has caused some investor concern, the company’s strong Q4 results and record gross profit margin underscore its robust operational performance. Despite the 6.07% dip in its stock price, On Holding’s consistent surpassing of consensus revenue estimates over the past four quarters highlights its resilience and potential for future growth.

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