According to a recent report from CoinDesk, the author of this story has disclosed that they own shares in MicroStrategy (MSTR). Since the U.S. election on November 5th, the price of bitcoin (BTC) has surged from $67,000 to around $100,000. This increase in price has also coincided with a significant rise in bitcoin’s total trade volume, which has now surpassed $100 billion.
Data from checkonchain shows that bitcoin futures trading volume hit an all-time high of approximately $120 billion on November 17th, nearly doubling since the U.S. election. However, since then, futures trade volume has stabilized at around $100 billion. The same trend can be seen with spot trade volume, which has also doubled from $6 billion to $12 billion. Additionally, the trade volume for spot listed U.S. exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has also increased, reaching $4 billion per day.
Bitcoin has been trading within a key range of $100,000, fluctuating above and below this psychological level multiple times. This can be attributed to the significant selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs), or investors who have held bitcoin for longer than 155 days. Since September, LTHs have sold 843,113 BTC, while short-term holders (STHs), who have held bitcoin for less than 155 days, have accumulated 1,081,633 BTC. This means that on average, LTHs have sold 9,960 BTC per day, while STHs have accumulated 12,432 BTC per day.
To put this into perspective, we can compare these trading volumes to other major players in the industry, such as MicroStrategy. The self-described bitcoin development company currently holds 423,650 BTC, which is just over 2% of the total supply. Since September, MicroStrategy has accumulated 197,250 BTC, which works out to approximately 2,168 BTC per day. Similarly, U.S. ETFs now hold over 1 million BTC, with an accumulation of approximately 205,000 BTC since September, or 2,253 BTC per day. This represents a significant increase from their previous balance of 916,000 BTC.
For bitcoin to break above $100,000, it will require a decrease in selling pressure from LTHs or an influx of new buyers entering the market. This could potentially be achieved through larger cohorts entering the space or a decrease in selling from LTHs.
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