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Fed Is in No Rush to Cut Rates as Economy Holds Up

Federal Reserve officials are expected to leave interest rates unchanged at their meeting this week. They will also release a fresh set of economic projections.According to The New York Times, Federal Reserve officials are expected to keep interest rates unchanged at their meeting this week. They will also release a new set of economic projections.

The officials are facing uncertainty as they enter the summer months. They are unsure about how quickly inflation will decrease, how much the economy will slow down, and how long interest rates should remain high to ensure that inflation stays under control.

However, the job market and the overall economy are currently holding up well despite the higher borrowing costs. As a result, the Fed’s safest option is to do nothing.

This is the message that central bankers are likely to convey at their two-day meeting, which concludes on Wednesday. They are expected to keep interest rates unchanged and avoid making any firm commitments about future rate cuts.

The officials will also release a new set of economic projections, which may show that they now anticipate making only two interest rate cuts in 2024, down from the three projected in March. Some economists believe that there is a possibility that they may even predict only one cut this year. However, regardless of their forecast, the officials are likely to refrain from giving a clear indication of when the rate cuts will begin.

Investors do not expect a rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting in July, and the officials will not meet again until September. This gives them several months to gather more data and carefully consider their next move. Additionally, because the economy is currently stable, the central bankers have the flexibility to keep interest rates unchanged while they wait to see if inflation will decrease without risking a sharp economic downturn.

Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy at TD Securities, believes that the Fed will continue to hint at future rate cuts later this year. He predicts that a rate cut will likely occur in September and that the Fed will not provide any indication of timing at this week’s meeting. 

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