CPI Rose in December, a Sign the Fed’s Inflation Fight Has Stalled

The Consumer Price Index rose 2.9 percent from a year earlier, but a measure of underlying inflation was more encouraging.According to The New York Times, the Consumer Price Index increased by 2.9 percent from a year earlier, but there is a more positive outlook when looking at a measure of underlying inflation.

The latest data from the Labor Department shows that consumer prices rose at a faster pace in December, indicating that the Federal Reserve’s efforts to combat inflation may have hit a roadblock. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.4 percent from November and 2.9 percent from a year earlier, making it the largest one-month increase since February. This was partly driven by a significant rise in the price of groceries, including eggs.

However, the “core” measure of inflation, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, showed a more promising trend. It rose by 3.2 percent from a year earlier, after three consecutive months of 3.3 percent gains. This was unexpected by forecasters, who had predicted a slowdown in core inflation.

Although inflation has decreased significantly since its peak in 2022, progress has slowed down in recent months. Some measures even show that inflation has not improved at all in 2024. According to Sarah House, senior economist at Wells Fargo, “When you step back and look at the overall state of inflation, we’re not really going anywhere. While there has been progress, the pace has been really disappointing.”

Prices continue to rise in categories that have a significant impact on consumers. Grocery prices, which were relatively stable in late 2023 and early 2024, have started to increase again, with eggs leading the way with a 33 percent increase in the past year. Gas prices also saw a jump of 4.4 percent in December, although they were still lower than a year ago.

In conclusion, the latest data shows that inflation is still a concern, but there are some positive signs in the underlying trend. The rise in prices for essential goods and services may continue to put pressure on consumers, but it remains to be seen how the Federal Reserve will respond to this latest development. 

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